What Will the 'Whether' Be on Election Day?
by Bill Russo
Polls
of voters are just like thermometers.
They go up and down with the ‘whether’ – whether the candidate looks
good, does not make too many mis-statements in a speech, etc.
Pondering that, let’s look back to 2016.
With just 24 hours left before voters would choose between the favorite
Hillary Clinton and the New York/Florida challenger Donald Trump, the polls
gave Clinton a four point edge (45 percent to 41 percent).
Keeping
in mind there’s always at least a four point margin of error in the polling, it
was no surprise that Hillary Clinton won the election by just a handful of
votes. However, Trump had more electoral
votes and as such, became the 45th President of the United States.
Now
in 2016, Joe Biden has a lead of between ten and 12 points over Trump who is attempting
to retain occupancy of the Casa Blanca, located at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue in
a District called Columbia.
So,
if history repeats itself and the polls are four percent wrong in Trump’s
favor, he will lose the 2020 election to Joe Biden by Six to eight points.
BUT –
and this is a big but – the polls are like thermometers, they go up and down
just like the red stuff in an old fashioned thermometer, nailed up near the
front door of a general store in olden New Hampshire.
So
what will the ‘Whether’ be on election day 2020?
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